Correcting a Mistake AND a Reminder of the Literal Insignificance of Iowa’s Caucuses
Posted on January 2, 2008
The other day I wrote a post called “How Much Does Iowa Really Mean Anyway?” which included an error which I was called on. I quickly struck through the inaccuracy (on Gribbit’s Word) without explaining.
I said, “In 2004 John Kerry didn’t do well in Iowa or New Hampshire” which isn’t accurate. Kerry actually won both states. But what I should have said, and the truth is, going into both races Kerry wasn’t favored. That information actually better illustrates my point. The fact that you are leading in the polls going into ANY race does not mean that you will win. And in Presidential politics, it may mean that you are likely to lose. Need I remind people of the failure in exit polling in the 2000 election?
Done? You’ve got to be kidding. READ MORE
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