More Problems for Hillary Clinton
Posted on November 8, 2007
Is Hillary Clinton No Longer The Shoe In for the Democratic Nomination?
Yesterday we pointed out the problem the Democrats have with the 2008 elections if they pick Hillary Clinton as their candidate as well as the latest polls showing her lead dropping in places like New Hampshire, for example, according to Rasmussen.
As for her latest gaffe where she said she supported Spitzer’s plan on giving illegal immigrants driver’s licenses, then she said she didn’t say she supported it (within two minutes), then the next day she said she supported it and yesterday, on CNN, she hedged again on the issue, that will also cost her support from her own party.
Rasmussen, just yesterday:
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of American adults are opposed to making drivers licenses available to people who are in the country illegally. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that just 16% take the opposite view and believe that undocumented immigrants should be allowed to get a license.
Half of voting-age Americans say they would not vote for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) if she became the Democratic nominee for president in 2008, according to a Harris Interactive poll.
Today we see a couple more polls which do not bode well for the former first lady.
First the Wall Street Journal/NBC poll:
By 50% to 35%, the poll shows, Americans prefer that a Democrat gets elected to succeed Mr. Bush next November. In a direct matchup of leading candidates, however, that margin shrinks to 46% for Mrs. Clinton and 45% for Mr. Giuliani because of defections from voters like Linda Dunbar.
“I just don’t totally trust her,” said the 57-year-old homemaker from the Cleveland suburb of Seven Hills. Though Mrs. Dunbar voted for Bill Clinton in the 1990s, she would back Mr. Giuliani over Mrs. Clinton next November because at a time of steep foreign-policy challenges”
The USA/Gallup reported today shows more bad news for Hillary, men do not like her.
More than eight in 10 Republicans and more than half the married men in a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll say they definitely wouldn’t vote for Hillary Rodham Clinton for president.
The poll provides an early snapshot of who’s ruling out Clinton, John Edwards and Barack Obama, the three leading candidates for the Democratic nomination.
[...]
The poll found that 36% of women wouldn’t vote for Clinton, compared with 50% of men — and 55% of married men.
They go on to say her unfavorable rating is still at 45%.
So, while she is still ahead of the Democratic pack to win the nomination, that lead is decreasing and those numbers change considerably when the focus is on the general election and not the primaries.
Zogby shows in a report from yesterday that I missed, that Hillary is having even more problems, this time in Iowa.
Democrat Hillary Clinton is holding on to a tenuous lead among likely Democratic caucus–goers in Iowa less than two months before those caucus participants will gather in neighborhood meetings to decide which candidate should carry their party banner into the 2008 presidential election.
She leads with 28% support, down from 30% in an August Zogby telephone poll. Barack Obama of Illinois, having made a serious campaign blitz of Iowa in recent months, is showing some progress at 25%, up from 19% in August. Holding steady in third place is John Edwards of North Carolina at 21%, down a bit from the late summer poll. Undecideds remain steady at 12%.
However, the race tightens dramatically when second choices are factored into the mix – a critical wrinkle in the Iowa caucuses. In the caucuses, a first round of “balloting†is conducted, and those candidates who do not win at least 15% support are ruled “unviable†and supporters are directed to a second choice among those who remained “viable†before a second round of “balloting†is conducted. Zogby polling shows Edwards makes big strides as a second–choice candidate, jumping six percent (see chart).
Pollster John Zogby: “This is a real horserace coming into the stretch run. With less than two months before the caucuses, this is anybody’s ballgame.â€
The we have the gender gap again.
Gender politics has been a big factor in the Democratic nomination battle, and Clinton – the first woman to be a front–runner for a major party nomination, leads among Iowa women with 32%, compared to 27% for Obama and 19% for Edwards. Among men, it’s a deadlock, with Edwards at 24%, and Clinton and Obama both at 23% support.
However, the picture changes a bit among second–choice voters, where Edwards wins 25% support, compared to 23% for Obama and 18% for Clinton. Among men making a second choice, Edwards also leads with 24% support, compared to 21% for Obama and 19% for Clinton.
I had honestly thought she was a shoe in to take the Democratic nomination and she still might, but the way her numbers are dropping and the tremendous gender gap as well as half the married men saying they “will never vote for her”, we might see what some would call an upset after the primaries.
The Democratic race just got a little more interesting.
Now, for no other reason than it amuses me greatly, watch this brilliant video put together by the Edwards team.
HEH
Cross posted from Wake up America
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» Filed Under ACLU, News, Politics As Usual, Video
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It’s funny that the media themselves is now trying to downplay Clinton and make it seem like the primary race is really going to be close… Is this a ploy to get potential voters engaged early? It’s pretty clear from all trends in the media, blogosphere, fundraising, and polling that Clinton is running away with the nomination… Check my post on 2008 Presidential Primary data for more info: http://thetomoreport.blogspot.com/2007/11/2008-presidential-primary-data-tracker.html
That’s “shoo-in,” not “shoe in.”
I see a lot of these so-called problems cropping up with Hillary, but I’ve remained hopeful that she can revive the US constitution to its former glory.
Hillary offers me a sandwich…
Hillary’s headin’ out on the campaign trail.
In her recent e-mail, she notes,
Dear Julian,
You’re my secret weapon.
All the other campaigns are busy talking about me. But with your support, I’m staying focused on what’s important in this race. I never forget what we’re working for when I’m out on the campaign trail. That’s why I’d like one of you to join me for a day.
Ah, Hill, there’s only “one” of me - to my knowledge!
She goes on to ask,
“Will you help me win these first few primaries and caucuses by contributing today? You could join me out on the campaign trail. We’ll take a few minutes to grab a sandwich and talk.”
Yup, her handlers are inviting voters like me to drop by the stumpin’ grounds to grab a sandwich when she alights in our Havens, Towns, big City dins - wherever!
Ham & cheese on rye, with a little Grey Poupon, please!
You know, the mustard the impeccably-dressed driver in the Rolls craves on a quick pass in the rarefied air of an enclave, somewhat beyond my reach. (video below)
Of course, you’re goin’ to have to cough up some dough for the privilege of dining alfresco with Hillary and her clan.
The recent gala on her 60th Birthday Bash taught us one Noble truth…if you want to mingle with the high and mighty, jockey for lobbying power - even toss a kiss from afar - you’ll have to pay through the nose.
No lookie-loo’s please, or photo ops on the house…just ask Hill.
In a recent e-mail invite, Clinton’s team noted that for $15.00 (just click on the link to pay by debit, credit card, or pay pal) I’ll get to chow down on a sandwich with her and have a chat - yeah, talk is not cheap, not in Hillary’s camp.
Well now, should I spring the bucks for the snack with Hillary Clinton, or upload my photo for inclusion on Edwards’ “mosaic”? (Post, John Edwards “Facebook”; 11/07/07)
I mean, times are tough - just how far will my budget stretch?
Maybe I should wait to see what Obama has to offer…
With all these clever, money-making maneuvers underfoot, some sweet slick offer should be heading out from his camp, soon.
I mean, the man is quick on the uptake, isn’t he?
Julian
http://www.ijulian.blogspot.com