Is McCain in trouble in Arizona?

Posted on November 21, 2009

When it comes to Republican primaries, the true conservative will usually beat out the RINO. This is usually true of any newcomer race — however, most incumbents are nearly impossible to beat. This is why you see, for example, Charlie Crist struggling in Florida against Marco Rubio, while Lindsay Graham gets reelected each time. Incumbents typically have the backing of the party establishment, lots of money to throw around, and heavy name recognition. Someone looking to challenge them is the underdog every time, and constituents usually need to be pretty darn fed up to kick out a congressman who has been in office for decades. Right now, it’s mostly Democrats who need to be worried, but with conservatism on the rise, I guess it should be no wonder that John McCain’s seat in the Senate isn’t looking too secure.

Senator John McCain’s future in the U.S. Senate may be a little less assured than previously thought.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely 2010 Republican Primary voters in Arizona finds the longtime incumbent in a virtual tie with potential challenger J.D. Hayworth. McCain earns 45% of the vote, while Hayworth picks up 43%.

Former Minuteman leader Chris Simcox gets four percent (4%) support, while two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

Hayworth, a conservative former U.S. congressman who now is a popular radio talk show host in Phoenix, is reportedly interested in the race but has not formally declared for it.

John McCain ran a disastrous campaign last year. He could have won and been President McCain — I truly believe this — were it not for his own bungling. The stars did not align perfectly for Obama. There were plenty of mistakes made by the Obama campaign, plenty of cards McCain could have played. But his Democrat-Lite reputation pissed off a lot of people in his own party, and he made tons of mistakes. It no doubt left a sour taste in many voters’ mouths. And with amnesty about to rear its ugly head again, I’m not surprised that Arizona voters are considering kicking him to the curb.

Bill Kristol and AllahPundit are floating the possibility of Sarah Palin coming to bail him out. Allah goes over the reasons that this would be politically advantageous for Palin, but frankly, I hope she doesn’t. First, in my opinion, it’s high time we get rid of John McCain. He’s a giant squish who has made a career out of pissing off Republicans as much as possible. We need to be weeding out the RINOs right now, not doing everything we can to help them retain their seats. Second, Palin was treated abysmally by the McCain campaign staff. They handcuffed her, gagged her, and then once the campaign was over, abandoned her and then stabbed her in the back. McCain may himself have not said or done anything, but he looked the other way while it happened and certainly didn’t come to her defense. He is a brave, courageous man in many aspects, but in this one, he was a coward. Sarah Palin was a risky choice for him. He’s the maverick, the one who relishes being the media darling. I don’t think he enjoyed being hammered in the media, and she certainly didn’t lighten that load for him. He plucked her out of relative obscurity, and then left her to be fed to the wolves. Yet now, she’s supposed to come and bail him out? She’s a rising star; he’s an old has-been. He’ll probably need her help, and if I was Sarah Palin, I wouldn’t give it. The only downfall is it makes her look petty and vindictive. I would think the best move for her would be to endorse neither candidate and make some kind of non-committal statement about how McCain is a great person and not say much more.

Of course, Allah’s predicting that McCain will be too stubborn and prideful to go begging for her help. If he won’t, then it eliminates the burden off of her shoulders. Hopefully, that’s exactly what happens, and McCain fades into obscurity after this election cycle. His career’s frankly gone on way too long.

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Cross-posted from Cassy’s blog. Stop by for more original commentary, or follow her on Twitter!

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» Filed Under Conservatism, Democrat Lite, Elections, McCain, News, Polls, RINOS, Republicans, Research/surveys, Sarah Palin


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4 Responses to “Is McCain in trouble in Arizona?”

  1. Don on November 21st, 2009 4:43 am

    I only hope Mrs. Palin does not help John Mccain she will lose this conservative Republican fast. John Mccain has done more for the illegal alien citizens from other countries than he has done for the voters of Arizona that have voted for him in the past!

  2. Dave B on November 21st, 2009 6:20 am

    John McCain was picked by the MSM and left-wingers that voted in Republican primaries. He was chosen by outsiders to be the candidate. He failed to inspire the base. He then chose Sarah Palin and even after the “chosen one” gave his choreographed speech at the Democratic Convention Sarah Palin brought the ticket up to actually LEAD in the polls! Then, John McCain, acting like John McCain, suspended his campaign, ran to Washington, and VOTED for the [edited] bailout instead of standing tall and proclaiming that we should let the [edited] fail, good riddance to to greedy non-producers, and encourage others to buy them out and start over. Nope, he voted for the bailout and dragged Sarah down with him. He could have won the election right then and there. He chose not to take advantage of Reverend Wright and to prohibit others in his campaign from speaking about it? Another blunder that cost him votes. He chose to remain “Democrat light” in most issues as opposed to the opposite and his history of sticking his thumb in the eyes of the conservative Republican base cost him the election and bragging about it. Any voter that might be the least bit impressed by that VOTED FOR OBAMA! If I were Palin, I’d give him the same endorsement he gave to her when asked about it on Leno when he refused to endorse her. If I were her I’d simply state, “I respect Senator McCain and I respect the will of the people of Arizona to make their own decisions.” Governor Palin: if there is any possibility one of your people see this… don’t endorse John McCain! J.D. Heyworth deserves a chance. Unfortunately John McCain, an American hero, has been in Washington too long, he thinks Government is the answer to everything. When a politician starts believing that it’s time to put him or her out to pasture.

  3. Joni Dahlstrom on November 21st, 2009 10:12 am

    As President of a local Republican Club, in one of McCain’s home towns, Sedona, I don’t think Palin’s support will help McCain.

    While locals love Palin, because they know McCain all too well, her endorsement would be ignored. Jesus Christ himself could endorse McCain and we still won’t vote for him.

    Joni

  4. Dee on November 21st, 2009 3:16 pm

    McCain essentially threw ‘Sarah’ under the bus during the 2008 Campaign.. Sarah would be wise to just say nice things about Senator McCain, but endorse NO ONE in AZ.. Sarah is the ‘one’ who energized the base for McAin .. Without her, he would have lost ‘miserably’ .. Instead, Senator McCain endorsed the ‘Muslim’ Obama when he said ‘Obama is an honorable man’ … He lost my entheusiasm then, but I voted for him, against SOCIALISM .. McCain is very wishy-washy on Immigration, especially ‘Illegal Immigration’ … Americans know how costly it has been for ‘illegals’ in our Country, and McCain needed to stand up against this!!

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