Dems Worried About Mid-Term Elections
…and they should be. Here is some of their fretting over how the black turn-out will drop during the mid-terms without Barack’s coat tails to ride on.
Alarms are being rung about just how many African-Americans will vote without President Barack Obama on the ballot, and the New Jersey and Virginia governors’ races in three weeks will provide the first major test since the 2008 election.
A recent Washington Post survey estimated the black turnout in Virginia’s governor’s race at 12 percent, which would be about a 40 percent drop from last year’s general election. Other polling has shown both its and New Jersey’s black population unmoved about the off-year election.
The question at this point isn’t so much whether black voters will turn out at 2008 levels, but how big the drop will be — and then, whether it carries into the 2010 midterms.
Tom Jensen, a spokesman for the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling, has been among the most outspoken. He said the high number of Democrats with districts that are significantly black means such a turnout shift could be disastrous for Democrats.
“If what looks like is going to happen in Virginia plays out on a national level, I do think Democrats will lose the House,” Jensen said.
This will happen, so they should worry about it…but they will lose seats for bigger reasons. People don’t like the direction they have taken us, and poll after poll show it.
Hat tip: Hot Air
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Posted by Jay on October 14, 2009 8:50 pm
» Filed Under Congress, Democrats, Elections, House, News, Polls
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