Polls: Obama’s Lead Drops
That inevitable double-digit lead the MSM were trumpeting from polls has been cut in half in very little time. Two major polls are now showing a shift that reflects good news for McCain. Zogby has cut Obama’s lead in half, and is now only showing a five point lead for Obama. Actually the cut is more than half. Obama went from a 12 point lead on Thursday to a five point lead now.
Obama leads McCain by 49 percent to 44 percent among likely U.S. voters in the daily tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points. Obama’s lead has dropped over the last three days after hitting a high of 12 points on Thursday.
“Things are trending back for McCain. His numbers are rising and Obama’s are dropping on a daily basis. There seems to be a direct correlation between this and McCain talking about the economy,” pollster John Zogby said.
Thank you Joe the plumber. Gallup is showing the same spread.
For some very good optimistic poll analysis see AJ Strata.
For pessimistic view points see Moderate Voice.
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Posted by Jay on October 26, 2008 2:17 pm
» Filed Under 1st Amendment, Economy, Elections, News, Polls
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12 Responses to “Polls: Obama’s Lead Drops”
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They’re just reweighting the polls. I just find it strange that if you’re a Republican who who takes part in this poll, your vote is counted for less than someone who IDs himself as a Democrat. They should do polls like they do real voting. 1 vote = 1 vote.
Poll picking. Pollster, 538, real clear politics all indicate that there has been no change. All professional blogging pollsters have ridiculed zogby to no end. There is no narrowing, zogby had an outlier in favor of Obama and this ‘narrowing’ is just inline with whateveryone has already been saying.
I do polls regularly on line with several national polling organizations. I am a registered republican. About a week ago the polls “froze” when I was asked if I considered myself a “strong” republican. I could complete any poll as long as I called myself a Libertarian or democrat. Although each poll allowed my preference for McCain, I was not allowed my preference as a Republican. It happened again today on 2 sites. I believe the polls are being skewed something awful. Don’t believe a thing you read from ANYONE. Be sure to vote on the 4th.
PERCEPTION IS NOT NECESSARILY REALITY … DON’T BELIEVE THE POLLS …
Obama supporters act as if the polls are a true reflection of what’s going to happen on November 4th. Obama has consistently tried to win each of his elections prior to a single vote being cast, by eliminating his opponenets on technicalities, or having the DNC dump Hillary, or by giving the false impression that he already won, before the election has even taken place. When you don’t have an actual record to run on … and all you can do is point out problems, and blame others, as Obama has, you have to rely on gimmicks that have nothing to do with your actual ability to lead … like accusations of racism ad nauseam … like early voting …busing and indoctrinating homeless people on the way to the polls … photo ops with big crowds … spending 4 to 1 on advertising … having the media in the tank … having Hollywood in the tank, having Acorn in the tank … and, having 98% of all black voters in the tank. But, all of these things are nothing more than a fabricated perception. They have nothing to do with a person’s experience, or ability to lead. They just reveal a candidate who will say, or do anything to get elected. That’s why the Obamabots are so worried. That’s why Obama is telling his disciples not to get over confident. That’s why the Obama campaign tries real hard to make it look like Obama has already won … just like they did in the run against Hillary in the primaries. I happen to believe there are legions of people who are going to vote for McCain on November 4th … unlike the ‘in your face’ Obama supporters, November 4th is when the McCain supporters will express themselves. A vote for Obama is a vote for voter fraud, corrupt media, and a road to socialism. Keep America safe and strong, elect McCain/Palin on November 4th.
Obama has an awful lot on his side and his supporters are eve more enthusiastic about showing up at the poll and getting out the vote. The bottom line is that indpendents and dissatisfied Republicans are jumping ship and getting on the bandwagon. Betta late than never. It’s On!
For the past 7 elections, the polls, mainstream media and a myriad of celebrities have favored Democrats for the presidency, yet the GOP has won 5 of 7 times. If you don’t want Obama in the White House, make sure you vote for McCain. Don’t worry about what the polls say.
The false registration fraud skews the poll data and is the main factor in their weighting element.
I expect next week the final in a marathon of all presidential elections will be spectacularly hilarious.
I cautiously anticipate major blowback from the Big Medias “electioneering” fraud, the fact that Joe Biden is NOT an enhancement to the Obama Ticket, and a dozen federal investigations into Acorn that one would presume be brought to a resolution before Nov 4th.
A reasonable person would contemplate that 4 to 1 money spending advantage may not nearly be enough for Obama. 10 to 1 might be a lock.
Just lie to the pollsters. If enough people make polling unreliable then it will cease.
These polls are always weighted Democrat, usually in a 44-33% or the like ratio.
I also like how, according to the composites, states like Virginia have shifted up to 16 points since the last presidential election?!? Who is fooling who?
You can now get 7/1 on McCain with the English bookmakers (Obama is 1/12). So if any of you think the polls are wrong and McCain has a chance, stop playing with your computer and get some serious money down. No takers, I didn’t think so.
I follow about nine polls on a regular, daily basis, and I see the same trends, that Obama is NOT a closer, and his lead is starting to dwindle. I voted today (just once) so that should help skew the results, no?
As an Aussie in the States all I can say is that is is self-fulfilling right-wing freak-scene website that blames irrational notions of bias instead of the fact that the great GOP is running what we call Down Under a “dudley” candidate with a nightmare choice for VP. Turn the GOP ticket over on the grill, its done. I’m not sure if Obama and a Dem Congress can clean up Bush’s fiscal interventionist mess that was them allowed to run free, but McCain and Palin clearly can’t and that is a problem for the Pacific Rim countries like the US, Canada, Australia, indeed the world. Moreover the depth of the recession and the lack of infrastructure to remedy the financial nightmare created by poor decisions during the past eight years leaves the Republicans with too many bad smells lingering around them and the Federal administration. If it looks like a rat, and it smells like a rat, the it probably is a …