Comments on: Oh Noes! St. Andrews Could Be Killed By AGW! http://www.stoptheaclu.com/2008/10/14/oh-noes-st-andrews-could-be-killed-by-agw/ Beating Them With Their Own Sickle And Hammer Mon, 23 Nov 2009 00:36:57 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.2 hourly 1 By: Ian Pattinson http://www.stoptheaclu.com/2008/10/14/oh-noes-st-andrews-could-be-killed-by-agw/comment-page-1/#comment-100502 Ian Pattinson Wed, 15 Oct 2008 08:06:37 +0000 http://www.stoptheaclu.com/?p=14438#comment-100502 The problem with your argument is right there in the quote you use. The report says crumbled, not flooded. In other words, the prediction is that St Andrews will be lost to increased erosion from higher tides. It's something that would happen eventually anyway, but any rise in sea level will greatly speed it up. And the bit about a ten day forecast is a non-argument. You're trying to compare an attempt to predict exactly what will happen on a given day with the ability to extrapolate trends based upon an ever growing body of evidence. It's explained in a bit more detail here- http://scienceblogs.com/illconsidered/2006/03/we-cant-even-predict-weather-next-week.php The problem with your argument is right there in the quote you use. The report says crumbled, not flooded. In other words, the prediction is that St Andrews will be lost to increased erosion from higher tides. It’s something that would happen eventually anyway, but any rise in sea level will greatly speed it up.

And the bit about a ten day forecast is a non-argument. You’re trying to compare an attempt to predict exactly what will happen on a given day with the ability to extrapolate trends based upon an ever growing body of evidence. It’s explained in a bit more detail here- http://scienceblogs.com/illconsidered/2006/03/we-cant-even-predict-weather-next-week.php

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