Poll Update: McCain Maintains Lead
All polls have shown McCain with an overall 4 to 5 point lead since the convention except one…Rassumussen. They showed a gain for McCain but it only made things a dead heat. Well, today McCain gained the edge in their poll as well.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows John McCain up by three points, his largest lead since Obama wrapped up the Democratic Presidential Nomination. For most of the past several months, Obama has held a modest lead with McCain slipping ahead by a single point on just three of the past hundred days.
McCain now attracts 48% of the vote while Obama earns 45%. When “leaners” are included, it’s McCain 49%, Obama 46%. Yesterday, the candidates were tied.
It is unusual to find a three-point jump in one day on the tracking poll. Daily tracking results are collected via nightly telephone surveys and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today’s gain for McCain comes partly from a good night of polling last night and partly from the fact that a good night for Obama on Monday is no longer part of the sample.
Ed Morrissey has the best analysis:
How bad is the crisis? Rasmussen now has the state of Washington as a toss-up, with Obama’s lead in the traditionally blue state down to only two points. Only a month ago, Obama led by twelve and didn’t even break a sweat. Now he trails among independents by five points, and he has lost six points among Democrats.
If Obama can’t hold Washington, he will have a very difficult time winning the election. Moreover, it’s a bellwether for his eroding national standing in this race, and the erosion will only accelerate as long as Obama cannot demonstrate why he is an agent of change with no record of it, and why reformers like McCain and Palin with actual records of change somehow don’t measure up. The Palin selection has stolen his theme, and Obama has been left flailing.
Just think how the polls would look if the media would actually expose Obama’s association with the terrorist Bill Ayers. The Dems are screwing it up.
Gallup provides the icing: Suddenly the battle for Congress looks competitive!
Update (Teach): Rather then create a whole new post, pushing this one down, I thought I would add a few updates with the State polls, keep it all in one place:
- Huge swing in North Carolina. It had been rather close in August (and all year), now it is M57-B38
- Florida has changed from dead even to M49-B44
- Nevada swung from barely Barry (47-45) to barely Mac (46-45)
- Barry gains a bit in Ohio. Now M48-B47. Had been a big swing from Barry to McCain, now tighter
Still a bit out, but the Electoral College sits at M270-B268
All data via Electoral Vote.
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Posted by Special Contributor on September 12, 2008 12:24 pm
» Filed Under Elections, News, Obama/Biden, Polls
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3 Responses to “Poll Update: McCain Maintains Lead”
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I wish the major media outlets would question the Ayers connection and land a bunch of reports in Chicago to investigate his community organizing. They won’t do it because the know how powerful and corrupt the Chicago machine is…and they know Obama would lose “handily” if it came out about his ties to domestic terrorists and socialists. I am unsure why McCain isnt doing an ad on it – that is his biggest weapon.
I hope these blogs continue to expose these connections.
Krystal, one word:
October.
I think the saber rattling from Russia, Pakistan and Venezuela are also pushing voters toward McCain. Thanks to Obamas own campaign, we see clearly that the world wants him to be our President, in fact is expecting it. They are expecting him to curb American wealth, prosperity and influence in the world. That is pretty much his platorm if you actually read his policies on his web site.
And with those expectations come hostility and backflash from nations who are antipathetic to the U.S. These actions so far are not virulent, but they are indicative of a world of barbarians licking their chops and getting ready to take the U.S.’s place as world leader.
I think the American people sense that. I also think that if a truly benevolent nation were out their to replace us as the only super power, we would be happy to cede that position and become a little isolationist for a while.
But there is no one out there with the moral, philosophical and hardware clout to do the job. So, welcome to McCain/Palin.
Best regards,
Gail S