McCainomentum
Posted on August 4, 2008
Rassmussen: McCain 47, Obama 46
Zogby: McCain 42, Obama 41
Gallup still has Obama ahead by 3, but within the margin of error.
RCP: McCain within Single Digits in Mass. It’s not a huge surge, but it’s the first time McCain has been ahead in any polls. Having it happen in several on the same day is evidence of a trend. It’s got the left worried.
Nate Silver calls it McCainomentum.
AJ Strata breaks it down.
In one week McCain has gained 15 points with the independent middle of the electorate. That is a stunning change, and one I do not think is done playing out. I suspect Gallup’s Daily Tracking Poll might show more erosion in the coming days (it seems to be a slower in picking up changes in the electorate than the Rasmussen Poll, which tends to show less volatility – go figure). Once the middle moves it will not move back again because we are heading into the conventions. If Obama goes in crippled he will definitely come out even more damaged.
Obama was always the candidate who would blow this race out of inexperience. There will be a lot of other excuses bantered about race, etc. But the fact is he is not performing presidential, and America does not select its presidents as if they were competing on American Idol. Just as Obama lost control of his own campaign website, which has been a source of anti-Obama screeds from day one, Obama lost control of his PR team, who started treating him just like a brain dead celeb. And it was not hard to see it happening.
» Filed Under 1st Amendment, Elections, News, Polls
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