Race For Congress Tightens Up In Last Days

It looks like it will be a nail biter for both sides once again. While some pundits have already written post-mortems for the GOP and many Conservatives have all but given up on retaining control of the House, it looks to be a close race as they approach the finish line. If you believe the polls, which have their reasons to be doubted, then we may be looking at the Democrats taking control of the House. However, in the last days up to the election quickly fall away there are some surprising tides beggining to turn.

First off, take a look at the House. Pundits have all but written it off as a give away to the Democrats. However, John Hawkins notes a shift in momentum.

As regular readers of RWN know, I’ve been pessimistic about the GOP’s chances of holding the House. In fact, last week, I said the GOP would lose between 18-28 seats if the election were held on that day.

However, the wind has finally started to shift back in the GOP’s favor. The Fence bill has been signed. The New Jersey gay marriage ruling helped fire up socially conservative voters. Moreover, in the Senate races, which have been more heavily polled than the House races, we’ve seen definite movement towards the GOP.

Two seats that were categorized as givens for the Dems are now toss-ups. The Dem’s October surprise with the Foley scandal isn’t giving them the momentum they had hoped for. Joe Negron, who replaces Mark Foley, will now be able to have signs at the polling place informing them that a vote for Foley is a vote for him.

Even more amazing is Tom Delay’s seat. Democrats are already counting that one in their win box. However, Shelley-Sekula Gibbs, who is replacing Tom DeLay as a write-in candidate, is now running almost dead even against the Democrat Nick Lampson. What was considered a long-shot is now a virtual toss-up even though she is a write-in. She very well may get a boost today as President Bush heads to town for a GOTV rally.

AJ Strata notes:

The most publicized race in the country was the CT primary. Massive numbers of voters came out and turned every poll on its head when Lamont and Leiberman split 51-48 in the Democrat primary. There is still no better indicator than the CT primary that the so called anti-Iraq War and anti-incumbent wave is just not big enough. If it was, then Lieberman would be on his way out, not on his way back in.

MKH notes that support in Maryland for Steele is surging.
Furthermore, as the last days up to the election approach, the best way to defeat the liberals seems to be in allowing them to run their mouth. With the nutroots showing their racism, candidates insulting people’s religious faith, amongst other shocking revelations…this year’s elections are going to be closer than the pundits and MSM are letting on in their wishful thinking. In the end, the only poll that matters is the one at the voting booth and what the races really come down to is getting out the vote.